MLS · Saturday, October 24 at 03:30 PM ET. The market's prices, spread and total for this game — and what they actually mean.
Moneyline — who wins, priced as a probability:
The market makes Columbus Crew a slight favorite at 57.5% on the moneyline — 37 points clear of Toronto FC (20.5%), with the draw at 21.5%. On Polymarket a price is a probability: a 57.5% price means traders collectively give Columbus Crew about a 57-in-100 chance of winning.
Trading interest is light so far: $2.9K traded against a slate median of $40.7K. Thin markets can move a long way on a single order, so treat the current prices as softer than the big games'. The event carries $237.9K in liquidity.
What the market is saying: Columbus Crew should win this more often than not (57.5%). Those are prices, not promises — the same market has priced bigger favorites wrong before, which is the entire reason the other side has buyers.
See the live Columbus Crew vs. Toronto FC markets on Polymarket →
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