MLS · Saturday, October 24 at 07:30 PM ET. The market's prices, spread and total for this game — and what they actually mean.
Moneyline — who wins, priced as a probability:
The market makes Orlando City SC a marginal favorite in what prices as a near coin flip at 45.5% on the moneyline — 15 points clear of New York City FC (30.5%), with the draw at 24.0%. On Polymarket a price is a probability: a 45.5% price means traders collectively give Orlando City SC about a 46-in-100 chance of winning.
Trading interest is light so far: $2.2K traded against a slate median of $40.7K. Thin markets can move a long way on a single order, so treat the current prices as softer than the big games'. The event carries $239.0K in liquidity.
What the market is saying: Orlando City SC should win this more often than not (45.5%). Those are prices, not promises — the same market has priced bigger favorites wrong before, which is the entire reason the other side has buyers.
See the live Orlando City SC vs. New York City FC markets on Polymarket →
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