NHL · Saturday, October 24 at 01:00 PM ET. The market's prices, spread and total for this game — and what they actually mean.
Moneyline — who wins, priced as a probability:
The market makes Flyers a marginal favorite in what prices as a near coin flip at 52.5% on the moneyline — 5 points clear of Ducks (47.5%). On Polymarket a price is a probability: a 52.5% price means traders collectively give Flyers about a 52-in-100 chance of winning.
The spread market adds the margin: Flyers -1.5 — Flyers must win by more than 1.5 goals to cover, priced at 30.5% — against Ducks +1.5 at 69.5%. The spread is the market's expected margin in disguise: it expects roughly a 1.5-goals game.
Scoring expectations are set by the total at 5.5 goals: Over is priced at 52.5% and Under at 47.5%, so the market sits balanced — combined scoring is expected to land right around 5.5 goals.
$11.5K has traded on this event so far — right in line with today's slate median of $10.2K. The event carries $319.8K in liquidity.
What the market is saying: Flyers should win this more often than not (52.5%), by a margin the spread pegs near 1.5 goals, in a game expected to produce about 5.5 goals of scoring. Those are prices, not promises — the same market has priced bigger favorites wrong before, which is the entire reason the other side has buyers.
See the live Ducks vs. Flyers markets on Polymarket →
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