As of October 24, 2026, 06:29 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $30M at 87.5% in 1win FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $10.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $30M, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.5 pts.
Since October 20, 2026, $30M has traded between 87.5% and 90.5%. It opened at 90.5% and last traded at 87.5%.
$30M is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $30M | 88¢ | 87.5% | -3.5 pts | $2.1K | 19.9% |
| $45M | 71¢ | 71.0% | -1.5 pts | $3.7K | 36.0% |
| $70M | 41¢ | 41.0% | +3.0 pts | $506 | 4.9% |
| $100M | 18¢ | 17.5% | -5.5 pts | $970 | 9.4% |
| $150M | 6¢ | 5.5% | -0.5 pts | $3.1K | 29.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 86¢ / ask 89¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.4K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 1win's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by 1win after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 1win (https://x.com/1winToken) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,188 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jam-Packed-Dividend | Yes | 1,188 | $1.0K |
| Constant-Fourths | No | 781 | $98 |
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 350 | $44 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 177 | $22 |
| Waterlogged-Expectancy | No | 128 | $16 |
| Numb-Hawk | Yes | 109 | $95 |
| Kind-Developmental | Yes | 61 | $53 |
| Weary-Unit | Yes | 50 | $44 |
| Gripping-Abolishment | Yes | 20 | $18 |
| Oddball-Tortoise | Yes | 11 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 87.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:52 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $54 |
| Oct 24, 01:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 07:21 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $86 |
| Oct 23, 06:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 29.0% | $131 |
| Oct 23, 06:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 10.9% | $31 |
| Oct 23, 06:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 06:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 13.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 03:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is $30M at 87.5%. Next is $45M at 71.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/1win-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$10.4K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$30M, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.