As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Other at 50.0% in #2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On) — $40.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Other, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Other is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Anthropic | 50¢ | 49.5% | +6.5 pts | $8.6K | 21.3% |
| 22¢ | 22.0% | -2.5 pts | $7.4K | 18.4% | |
| Meta | 22¢ | 21.5% | -2.0 pts | $6.7K | 16.5% |
| OpenAI | 5¢ | 5.1% | +0.4 pts | $1.1K | 2.8% |
| Moonshot | 3¢ | 3.0% | — | $982 | 2.4% |
| Alibaba | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.5 pts | $970 | 2.4% |
| Z.ai | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $1.0K | 2.5% |
| Tencent | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.5 pts | $1.5K | 3.8% |
| SpaceXAI | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $977 | 2.4% |
| Baidu | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $1.0K | 2.5% |
| Thinky | 0¢ | 0.5% | +0.4 pts | $826 | 2.0% |
| Nvidia | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $483 | 1.2% |
| Xiaomi | 0¢ | 0.4% | -0.1 pts | $943 | 2.3% |
| Microsoft | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $829 | 2.1% |
| ByteDance | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $916 | 2.3% |
| DeepSeek | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.3 pts | $1.3K | 3.2% |
| MiniMax | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 5.6% |
| Meituan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $704 | 1.7% |
| Mistral | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $506 | 1.3% |
| Amazon | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $739 | 1.8% |
| StepFun | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $504 | 1.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$40.4K has been traded on this event in total, $934 of it in the last 24 hours, across 35 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,316 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,316 | $658 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 225 | $113 |
| Messy-Ritual-Hops | Yes | 185 | $93 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 140 | $70 |
| Miniature-Drive | Yes | 129 | $64 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 92 | $46 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 76 | $38 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 70 | $35 |
| Starry-Studio | Yes | 67 | $33 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 02:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.5% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 02:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 04:02 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 11:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 11:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 10:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 52.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 10:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 53.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 10:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Other at 50.0%. Next is Company A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2-ai-lab-end-of-november-style-control-on?via=bro
$40.4K in total volume, with $934 traded in the last 24 hours across 35 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs.
Other, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.