As of October 24, 2026, 09:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Austin Smotherman at 85.5% in PGA Tour: Butterfield Bermuda Championship Top 5 — $184 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Austin Smotherman, is priced at 85.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +56.0 pts; past week: +36.0 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Austin Smotherman has traded between 13.0% and 49.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 19.5%.
Austin Smotherman is favored at 85.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Smotherman | 86¢ | 85.5% | +56.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seamus Power | 76¢ | 75.5% | +34.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 56¢ | 56.1% | +20.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Corey Conners | 56¢ | 55.5% | +27.0 pts | $35 | 19.0% |
| Cam Davis | 50¢ | 50.0% | +38.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 50¢ | 50.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $5 | 2.7% |
| Willie Mack | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.0 pts | $10 | 5.4% |
| Taylor Moore | 50¢ | 50.0% | +27.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| S.Y. Noh | 50¢ | 50.0% | +38.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chris Kirk | 37¢ | 37.0% | +19.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rudy Sautron | 32¢ | 32.0% | +2.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chan Kim | 27¢ | 27.1% | +15.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Tom Hoge | 24¢ | 23.5% | +20.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Luke Clanton | 22¢ | 22.0% | -7.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Eric Cole | 21¢ | 21.0% | -20.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Neal Shipley | 20¢ | 19.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Isaiah Salinda | 17¢ | 17.2% | +11.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Denny McCarthy | 10¢ | 10.5% | -23.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Skinns | 7¢ | 6.6% | -4.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ben Kohles | 6¢ | 6.5% | -35.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kihei Akina | 6¢ | 5.5% | -18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 6¢ | 5.5% | -18.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 5¢ | 5.0% | +2.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Ford | 4¢ | 4.5% | +0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adam Hadwin | 4¢ | 4.5% | -24.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Zac Blair | 4¢ | 4.0% | -32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Trace Crowe | 4¢ | 4.0% | -25.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 4¢ | 4.0% | -49.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Brice Garnett | 4¢ | 3.9% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 4¢ | 3.9% | -36.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Max McGreevy | 4¢ | 3.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rafael Campos | 3¢ | 3.4% | -45.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Peter Malnati | 3¢ | 3.4% | +0.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nick Dunlap | 3¢ | 3.4% | -0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chad Ramey | 3¢ | 3.2% | -23.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lee Hodges | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Novak | 3¢ | 3.0% | -25.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hayden Springer | 3¢ | 3.0% | -26.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lucas Glover | 3¢ | 2.9% | -22.6 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ben Martin | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Paul | 3¢ | 2.9% | -38.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Martin Laird | 3¢ | 2.9% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 3¢ | 2.8% | -22.7 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kevin Roy | 3¢ | 2.8% | -29.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Robert Streb | 3¢ | 2.7% | -40.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Henrik Norlander | 3¢ | 2.6% | -17.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Miles Russell | 3¢ | 2.6% | -35.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Davis Chatfield | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 2¢ | 2.5% | -11.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kensei Hirata | 2¢ | 2.5% | -32.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rico Hoey | 2¢ | 2.5% | -45.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 2¢ | 2.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Joel Dahmen | 2¢ | 2.2% | +0.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Davis Riley | 2¢ | 2.2% | -1.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 2¢ | 2.2% | -21.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nick Hardy | 2¢ | 2.2% | -1.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Paul Peterson | 1¢ | 1.4% | -50.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 29¢ (bid 71¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$184 has been traded on this event in total, $5 of it in the last 24 hours, across 61 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:49 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 08:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $32 |
| Oct 19, 05:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Austin Smotherman at 85.5%. Next is Seamus Power at 75.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-butterfield-bermuda-championship-top5?via=bro
$184 in total volume, with $5 traded in the last 24 hours across 61 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.pgatour.com/.
Austin Smotherman, priced at 85.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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