As of October 24, 2026, 08:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Austin Smotherman at 28.9% in PGA Tour: Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner — $6.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Austin Smotherman, is priced at 28.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +22.7 pts; past week: -20.5 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, Austin Smotherman has traded between 2.1% and 49.5%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 29.0%.
Austin Smotherman is favored at 28.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Smotherman | 29¢ | 28.9% | +22.7 pts | $250 | 3.9% |
| Seamus Power | 27¢ | 27.2% | +17.1 pts | $1.5K | 23.9% |
| Corey Conners | 9¢ | 8.9% | -2.1 pts | $334 | 5.3% |
| Taylor Moore | 8¢ | 8.0% | +7.0 pts | $268 | 4.2% |
| Benjamin Silverman | 4¢ | 4.3% | -0.1 pts | $610 | 9.6% |
| Chris Kirk | 4¢ | 4.3% | +2.4 pts | $84 | 1.3% |
| Tom Hoge | 3¢ | 2.7% | +2.0 pts | $550 | 8.7% |
| Chan Kim | 3¢ | 2.5% | +2.1 pts | $86 | 1.3% |
| Chandler Blanchet | 2¢ | 2.0% | -5.4 pts | $77 | 1.2% |
| Luke Clanton | 2¢ | 1.5% | +0.4 pts | $149 | 2.3% |
| Isaiah Salinda | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.4 pts | $80 | 1.3% |
| Cam Davis | 1¢ | 1.1% | +0.4 pts | $260 | 4.1% |
| Denny McCarthy | 1¢ | 1.1% | -4.3 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| David Skinns | 1¢ | 0.9% | -0.9 pts | $90 | 1.4% |
| Kihei Akina | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Adrien Dumont De Chassart | 1¢ | 0.7% | +0.1 pts | $30 | 0.5% |
| Ben Kohles | 1¢ | 0.7% | -5.3 pts | $54 | 0.9% |
| Brice Garnett | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $66 | 1.0% |
| Adam Hadwin | 1¢ | 0.7% | — | $125 | 2.0% |
| S.Y. Noh | 1¢ | 0.7% | -0.1 pts | $200 | 3.1% |
| Zac Blair | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $35 | 0.6% |
| Trace Crowe | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.8 pts | $213 | 3.3% |
| Joel Dahmen | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Austin Eckroat | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $54 | 0.8% |
| Nick Hardy | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kensei Hirata | 1¢ | 0.6% | -3.5 pts | $91 | 1.4% |
| Rico Hoey | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mark Hubbard | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Takumi Kanaya | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Kang | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Henry Lebioda | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Willie Mack | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $5 | 0.1% |
| Peter Malnati | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Ben Martin | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Max McGreevy | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Andrew Novak | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.3 pts | $116 | 1.8% |
| Jeremy Paul | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chad Ramey | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.2 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kevin Roy | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $80 | 1.3% |
| Miles Russell | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Rudy Sautron | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Neal Shipley | 1¢ | 0.6% | -0.1 pts | $32 | 0.5% |
| Robert Streb | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $5 | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Byrd | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $80 | 1.3% |
| Rafael Campos | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Davis Chatfield | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Eric Cole | 0¢ | 0.5% | -9.9 pts | $140 | 2.2% |
| Ze-Cheng Dou | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $100 | 1.6% |
| Nick Dunlap | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| A.J. Ewart | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $32 | 0.5% |
| David Ford | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $30 | 0.5% |
| Dylan Frittelli | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lucas Glover | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $30 | 0.5% |
| Emiliano Grillo | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $170 | 2.7% |
| Lee Hodges | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $38 | 0.6% |
| Mackenzie Hughes | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Martin Laird | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $5 | 0.1% |
| Henrik Norlander | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $5 | 0.1% |
| Paul Peterson | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Davis Riley | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hayden Springer | 0¢ | 0.5% | -0.1 pts | $63 | 1.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 27¢ / ask 31¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.4K has been traded on this event in total, $4.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 82 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the Butterfield Bermuda Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by October 31, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Resolution source: https://www.pgatour.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 203 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Teeming-Ritual | No | 203 | $145 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 100 | $29 |
| Each-Summary | Yes | 83 | $24 |
| Eager-Politician | Yes | 57 | $17 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | No | 20 | $14 |
| Glass-Queen | No | 17 | $12 |
| Determined-Mug | Yes | 10 | $3 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 10 | $7 |
| Understated-Opossum | Yes | 5 | $1 |
| Wrong-Respite | No | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.5% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.9% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.2% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 03:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.6% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.4% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:17 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.3% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.7% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 03:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 70.6% | $114 |
| Oct 24, 03:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 31.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Austin Smotherman at 28.9%. Next is Seamus Power at 27.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-butterfield-bermuda-championship-winner?via=bro
$6.4K in total volume, with $4.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 82 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 24, 2026, 08:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.pgatour.com/.
Austin Smotherman, priced at 28.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.