As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Clay Jenkins at 99.8% in 2026 Dallas County Judge Election Winner — $18.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Clay Jenkins, is priced at 99.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +5.3 pts; past month: +4.0 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, Clay Jenkins has traded between 44.0% and 99.8%. It opened at 44.0% and last traded at 99.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.8% |
Clay Jenkins is favored at 99.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clay Jenkins | 100¢ | 99.8% | +0.2 pts | $15.1K | 83.4% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Mike Immler | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.3 pts | $3.0K | 16.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$18.1K has been traded on this event in total, $700 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Dallas County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Dallas County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Dallas County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Dallas County.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,189 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reckless-Estrogen-Competence | Yes | 4,189 | $4.2K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,760 | $1.8K |
| Attached-Schedule | No | 1,126 | $2 |
| Tangible-Fuel | No | 701 | $1 |
| Blue-Bend | No | 700 | $1 |
| Frail-Prayer | No | 585 | $1 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 543 | $1 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 323 | $1 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 290 | $1 |
| Guilty-Flicker-Colloquy | No | 205 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 11:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 10:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.1% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 09:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 08:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.7% | $42 |
| Oct 22, 02:36 AM ET | No | SELL | 0.8% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 1.1% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 10:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 2.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Clay Jenkins at 99.8%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-dallas-county-judge-election-winner-20260626003212321?via=bro
$18.1K in total volume, with $700 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Clay Jenkins, priced at 99.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.