As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Michelle Romero at 83.0% in 2026 Henderson Mayoral Election Winner — $9.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Michelle Romero, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.5 pts; past month: -10.5 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, Michelle Romero has traded between 41.5% and 94.5%. It opened at 47.0% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.0% |
Michelle Romero is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Romero | 83¢ | 83.0% | — | $5.1K | 54.0% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Hollie Chadwick | 17¢ | 16.7% | -0.6 pts | $4.3K | 46.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 82¢ / ask 84¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Henderson mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Henderson, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Henderson as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Clark County, and the City of Henderson.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 995 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 995 | $826 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 506 | $86 |
| Powerless-Bijou | No | 446 | $76 |
| Flaky-Doing | Yes | 161 | $134 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 80 | $14 |
| Attentive-Psychiatrist | No | 45 | $8 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 43 | $7 |
| Evil-Row | No | 21 | $4 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 21 | $4 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 4 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 03:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.8% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 05:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.7% | $6 |
| Oct 11, 11:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 14.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.5% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $7 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 08:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Michelle Romero at 83.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-henderson-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001013587?via=bro
$9.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Michelle Romero, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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