As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Robert Luna at 97.2% in 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff Election Winner — $24.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Robert Luna, is priced at 97.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +0.4 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, Robert Luna has traded between 46.0% and 98.3%. It opened at 46.0% and last traded at 97.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.0% |
Robert Luna is favored at 97.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Luna | 97¢ | 97.2% | +0.2 pts | $13.4K | 54.7% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alex Villanueva | 2¢ | 1.9% | -0.2 pts | $11.1K | 45.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$24.6K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Los Angeles County Sheriff election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Sheriff of Los Angeles County, CA. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Sheriff of Los Angeles County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Sheriffs appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of California and Los Angeles County.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,754 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 4,754 | $4.6K |
| Cultivated-Diesel | No | 3,000 | $82 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 978 | $27 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 691 | $19 |
| 0x6b25c5c4… | Yes | 629 | $612 |
| Snappy-Rooster | No | 276 | $8 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | No | 249 | $7 |
| Stale-Cashew | No | 196 | $5 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | Yes | 140 | $136 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 139 | $135 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 02:49 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $29 |
| Oct 16, 06:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.7% | $20 |
| Oct 16, 06:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.4% | $19 |
| Oct 16, 05:50 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.9% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.6% | $29 |
| Oct 16, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.9% | $38 |
| Oct 16, 05:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $19 |
| Oct 16, 05:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 96.0% | $38 |
| Oct 16, 04:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 3.7% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Robert Luna at 97.2%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-los-angeles-county-sheriff-election-winner-20260626005329056?via=bro
$24.6K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Robert Luna, priced at 97.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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