As of October 24, 2026, 08:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kate Marshall at 89.5% in 2026 Reno Mayoral Election Winner — $17.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kate Marshall, is priced at 89.5%.
Since June 26, 2026, Kate Marshall has traded between 46.5% and 90.0%. It opened at 46.5% and last traded at 89.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 89.5% |
Kate Marshall is favored at 89.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kate Marshall | 90¢ | 89.5% | — | $12.6K | 71.9% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Taylor | 10¢ | 10.1% | +1.6 pts | $4.9K | 28.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 89¢ / ask 90¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$17.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Reno mayoral election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the mayor of Reno, NV. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Reno as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Nevada, Washoe County, and the City of Reno.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 848 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 848 | $89 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 771 | $690 |
| Tangible-Fuel | No | 353 | $37 |
| Classic-Parallelogram | Yes | 241 | $216 |
| Required-Tactics | Yes | 200 | $179 |
| Odd-Relish | Yes | 195 | $174 |
| Dismal-Moustache | Yes | 102 | $92 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 86 | $9 |
| Arctic-Kickoff | Yes | 55 | $49 |
| Those-Skywalk | Yes | 50 | $45 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 08:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.2% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.2% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.5% | $43 |
| Oct 21, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.5% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 06:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 05:47 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.6% | $35 |
| Oct 20, 04:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.6% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 04:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 04:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.8% | $18 |
| Oct 20, 04:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 9.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kate Marshall at 89.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-reno-mayoral-election-winner-20260626001418691?via=bro
$17.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kate Marshall, priced at 89.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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