As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Independiente Petrolero at 49.0% in Bolivia LFPB: 2026 Runner-Up — $637 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Independiente Petrolero, is priced at 49.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Independiente Petrolero has traded between 43.0% and 50.0%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 46.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 46.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 46.5% |
Independiente Petrolero is favored at 49.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente Petrolero | 49¢ | 49.0% | +4.5 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Bolívar | 48¢ | 48.5% | — | $33 | 5.1% |
| Aurora | 48¢ | 48.0% | +2.0 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Guabirá | 48¢ | 47.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Real Potosí | 47¢ | 47.0% | +5.0 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Real Oruro | 46¢ | 46.5% | +0.5 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Nacional Potosí | 46¢ | 46.0% | — | $33 | 5.1% |
| Oriente Petrolero | 46¢ | 46.0% | +1.5 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| The Strongest | 45¢ | 45.0% | +2.0 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Always Ready | 44¢ | 44.0% | +2.0 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
| Blooming | 43¢ | 43.0% | +1.5 pts | $33 | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 94¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 96¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$637 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 27 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Bolivia LFPB for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Bolivia LFPB for the 2026 season per the rules of Bolivia LFPB (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Bolivia LFPB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://lfpb.com.bo/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 33 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | Yes | 33 | $16 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 33 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $32 |
| Oct 17, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $32 |
| Oct 17, 05:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.8% | $32 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Independiente Petrolero at 49.0%. Next is Bolívar at 48.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-bolivia-lfpb-runner-up?via=bro
$637 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 27 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://lfpb.com.bo/.
Independiente Petrolero, priced at 49.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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