As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Palmeiras at 50.0% in Brazil Série A: 2026 Runner-Up — $1.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Palmeiras, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -9.5 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Palmeiras has traded between 41.5% and 59.5%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 49.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.0% |
Palmeiras is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmeiras | 50¢ | 50.0% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Flamengo | 50¢ | 49.5% | -1.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Fluminense | 46¢ | 45.5% | +8.0 pts | $2 | 0.2% |
| Atlético Mineiro | 45¢ | 45.0% | +8.0 pts | $2 | 0.2% |
| Cruzeiro | 42¢ | 41.5% | -5.0 pts | $3 | 0.3% |
| Bahia | 34¢ | 33.5% | — | $2 | 0.2% |
| Santos | 25¢ | 25.0% | -3.5 pts | $82 | 7.3% |
| Athletico Paranaense | 24¢ | 24.0% | — | $4 | 0.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 70¢ (bid 15¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 24 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the Brazil Série A for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of Brazil Série A for the 2026 season per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 62 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rubbery-Churn | Yes | 62 | $31 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 62 | $31 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 04:48 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 06:42 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 05:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 05:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $14 |
| Sep 21, 08:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $61 |
| Aug 31, 10:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
| Aug 31, 10:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Palmeiras at 50.0%. Next is Flamengo at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-brazil-srie-a-runner-up?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 24 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a.
Palmeiras, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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