As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Flamengo at 56.0% in Brazil Série A: Winner — $51.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Flamengo, is priced at 56.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.0 pts; past week: -5.0 pts; past month: -15.5 pts.
Since April 04, 2026, Flamengo has traded between 22.5% and 72.5%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 55.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.5% |
Flamengo is favored at 56.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | 56¢ | 56.0% | -5.0 pts | $13.0K | 25.0% |
| Palmeiras | 36¢ | 35.5% | +0.5 pts | $11.5K | 22.1% |
| Fluminense | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $7.0K | 13.5% |
| Athletico Paranaense | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.2 pts | $3.0K | 5.8% |
| Bahia | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.4% |
| Cruzeiro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 3.2% |
| Atlético Mineiro | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.0K | 3.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 52¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$51.9K has been traded on this event in total, $488 of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 15, 2026, 10:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the Brazil Série A. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of Brazil Série A per the rules of Brazil Série A (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the Brazil Série A; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-serie-a-cfdf2b07cc.png
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,665 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,665 | $1.2K |
| Filthy-Hospitalisation | Yes | 2,172 | $1.2K |
| Nutty-Atelier | No | 2,160 | $951 |
| Winding-Road | Yes | 2,139 | $1.2K |
| Wordy-Elver | No | 1,950 | $858 |
| Sardonic-Mimosa | No | 1,294 | $569 |
| Eminent-Fun | Yes | 1,050 | $588 |
| Large-Calorie | Yes | 944 | $529 |
| Rude-Vase | Yes | 749 | $419 |
| Nimble-Fox | Yes | 562 | $314 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 06:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 06:30 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 08:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 31.0% | $138 |
| Oct 23, 04:32 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.6% | $52 |
| Oct 23, 03:17 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 12:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Flamengo at 56.0%. Next is Palmeiras at 35.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-brazil-srie-a-winner?via=bro
$51.9K in total volume, with $488 traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 15, 2026, 10:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/brazil-serie-a-cfdf2b07cc.png.
Flamengo, priced at 56.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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