As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Independiente del Valle at 49.8% in LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador): 2026 Winner — $3.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Independiente del Valle, is priced at 49.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.9 pts; past week: -49.1 pts; past month: -44.8 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Independiente del Valle has traded between 45.0% and 99.0%. It opened at 48.5% and last traded at 49.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 98.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 51.8% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 51.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 49.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 49.9% |
Independiente del Valle is favored at 49.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente del Valle | 50¢ | 49.8% | -0.9 pts | $106 | 3.2% |
| Barcelona SC | 4¢ | 3.5% | +0.7 pts | $96 | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 96¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 18 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the champion of the LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the 2026 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the champion of LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) for the 2026 season per the rules of LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador) (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the LigaPro Serie A (Ecuador); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.ligapro.ec/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 81 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smug-Snowman | Yes | 81 | $41 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 80 | $40 |
| Best-Feather | Yes | 31 | $15 |
| Lovely-Juice | No | 24 | $12 |
| Mortified-Wetland | No | 20 | $10 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Awful-Alibi | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.7% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 08:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $9 |
| Oct 17, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 07:59 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 09:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.8% | $1 |
| Sep 29, 02:09 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Sep 21, 06:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 4.9% | $1 |
| Sep 20, 08:11 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Independiente del Valle at 49.8%. Next is Barcelona SC at 3.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-soccer-ligapro-serie-a-ecuador-winner?via=bro
$3.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 18 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ligapro.ec/.
Independiente del Valle, priced at 49.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.