As of October 24, 2026, 07:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Tim O'Hare at 56.5% in 2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner — $53.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Tim O'Hare, is priced at 56.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +6.0 pts; past month: +33.0 pts.
Since June 26, 2026, Tim O'Hare has traded between 12.5% and 76.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 56.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 55.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.5% |
Tim O'Hare is favored at 56.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim O'Hare | 56¢ | 56.5% | +4.0 pts | $42.4K | 79.6% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Alisa Simmons | 42¢ | 42.0% | — | $10.9K | 20.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 56¢ / ask 57¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$53.3K has been traded on this event in total, $32 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,435 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,435 | $1.1K |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 1,765 | $997 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,058 | $598 |
| Intentional-Engagement | No | 761 | $331 |
| Velvety-Burn | No | 759 | $330 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 593 | $335 |
| Pertinent-Parachute | Yes | 393 | $222 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | No | 200 | $87 |
| Arid-Cinema | Yes | 160 | $90 |
| Roasted-Crossstitch | No | 160 | $70 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:56 AM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 10:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 10:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 04:56 PM ET | No | SELL | 41.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 02:28 PM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 57.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 01:56 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $32 |
| Oct 22, 09:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 45.0% | $90 |
| Oct 22, 09:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 09:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 45.1% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Tim O'Hare at 56.5%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-tarrant-county-judge-election-winner-20260626003334863?via=bro
$53.3K in total volume, with $32 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Tim O'Hare, priced at 56.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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