As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Javokhir Sindarov at 73.5% in 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner — $126.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Javokhir Sindarov, is priced at 73.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past month: +2.0 pts.
Since May 12, 2026, Javokhir Sindarov has traded between 61.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 69.5% and last traded at 73.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 73.5% |
Javokhir Sindarov is favored at 73.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javokhir Sindarov | 74¢ | 73.5% | — | $59.6K | 47.2% |
| Gukesh Dommaraju | 26¢ | 25.5% | -1.0 pts | $66.8K | 52.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 74¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$126.3K has been traded on this event in total, $466 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 14,118 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Muffled-Pelican | No | 14,118 | $3.7K |
| Sandy-Scaffold-Uniform | Yes | 14,090 | $10.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 8,156 | $2.2K |
| Crazy-Leptocephalus | Yes | 4,167 | $3.1K |
| Fickle-Game | Yes | 3,428 | $2.5K |
| 0x2a5ffc44… | No | 2,877 | $762 |
| Growling-Tag | Yes | 2,778 | $2.0K |
| Black-Use | Yes | 1,389 | $1.0K |
| Feline-Asparagus | No | 1,172 | $311 |
| Mad-Intellect | No | 1,000 | $265 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 09:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $105 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 74.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:46 AM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 09:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 08:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $540 |
| Oct 22, 12:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 11:04 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 11:04 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 26.0% | $52 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Javokhir Sindarov at 73.5%. Next is Gukesh Dommaraju at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2026-world-chess-championship-winner?via=bro
$126.3K in total volume, with $466 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Javokhir Sindarov, priced at 73.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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