As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Édouard Philippe at 77.5% in 2027 French Presidential Election: Attal vs Philippe — $9.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Édouard Philippe, is priced at 77.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Édouard Philippe has traded between 58.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 79.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 79.5% |
Édouard Philippe is favored at 77.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Édouard Philippe | 78¢ | 77.5% | -2.0 pts | $3.7K | 38.9% |
| Gabriel Attal | 13¢ | 12.7% | -1.7 pts | $1.8K | 19.4% |
| Both | 8¢ | 7.8% | +1.4 pts | $2.4K | 25.5% |
| Neither | 7¢ | 7.2% | +3.4 pts | $1.5K | 16.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 82¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve according to which of Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. If Gabriel Attal is included and Édouard Philippe is not, this market will resolve to “Gabriel Attal”. If Édouard Philippe is included and Gabriel Attal is not, this market will resolve to “Édouard Philippe”. If both are included, this market will resolve to “Both”. If neither is included, this market will resolve to “Neither”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Neither”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,473 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,473 | $331 |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 696 | $539 |
| Surprised-Article | Yes | 612 | $474 |
| Plain-Charlatan | Yes | 280 | $217 |
| Functional-Sermon-Boudoir | No | 227 | $51 |
| Prickly-Offense | Yes | 200 | $155 |
| Helpful-Cheese | No | 131 | $29 |
| Mundane-Hood | Yes | 109 | $85 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 93 | $21 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 78 | $60 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.9% | $8 |
| Oct 20, 06:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.4% | $2 |
| Oct 20, 06:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $0 |
| Oct 20, 06:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.3% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 04:24 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 11.7% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 04:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 81.0% | $1 |
| Oct 16, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.4% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 05:26 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.8% | $4 |
| Oct 15, 04:18 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.9% | $236 |
| Oct 15, 04:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 17.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Édouard Philippe at 77.5%. Next is Gabriel Attal at 12.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2027-french-presidential-election-attal-vs-philippe?via=bro
$9.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end April 18, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
Édouard Philippe, priced at 77.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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