As of October 24, 2026, 08:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Real Madrid at 55.0% in LaLiga: 2026-27 Runner-Up — $3.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Real Madrid, is priced at 55.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -6.0 pts; past month: +3.5 pts.
Since August 12, 2026, Real Madrid has traded between 41.5% and 66.0%. It opened at 41.5% and last traded at 55.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 53.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 55.0% |
Real Madrid is favored at 55.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid | 55¢ | 55.0% | +0.5 pts | $3.2K | 84.4% |
| Barcelona | 18¢ | 17.5% | — | $100 | 2.7% |
| Atlético Madrid | 12¢ | 12.5% | -7.0 pts | $159 | 4.3% |
| Alavés | 10¢ | 10.0% | -33.0 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Athletic Bilbao | 10¢ | 10.0% | -16.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Celta Vigo | 10¢ | 10.0% | -25.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Deportivo La Coruña | 10¢ | 10.0% | -16.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Espanyol | 10¢ | 10.0% | -35.0 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Getafe | 10¢ | 10.0% | -16.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Levante | 10¢ | 10.0% | -26.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Málaga | 10¢ | 10.0% | -25.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Osasuna | 10¢ | 10.0% | -25.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Racing Santander | 10¢ | 10.0% | -25.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano | 10¢ | 10.0% | -16.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Real Sociedad | 10¢ | 10.0% | -35.0 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Sevilla | 10¢ | 10.0% | -32.0 pts | $117 | 3.1% |
| Valencia | 10¢ | 10.0% | -16.5 pts | $12 | 0.3% |
| Villarreal | 10¢ | 9.5% | — | $12 | 0.3% |
| Real Betis | 9¢ | 9.0% | — | $24 | 0.6% |
| Elche | 5¢ | 5.1% | — | $17 | 0.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 44¢ / ask 66¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 36 markets.
This market is scheduled to end July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the runner-up of the LaLiga for the 2026-27 season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to finish as runner-up of LaLiga for the 2026-27 season per the rules of LaLiga (e.g., the participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared as second-place finishers, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a runner-up has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the LaLiga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.laliga.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 94 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 94 | $42 |
| Bruised-Cash | Yes | 44 | $24 |
| Judicious-Face | Yes | 30 | $17 |
| Reasonable-Lady | Yes | 11 | $6 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 9 | $5 |
| Unfinished-Tadpole-Driveway | No | 7 | $3 |
| Unconscious-Mozzarella | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| Unrealistic-Hassock | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Diligent-Terrapin-Corn | No | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.3% | $17 |
| Sep 21, 12:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.0% | $7 |
| Sep 21, 12:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.9% | $10 |
| Sep 20, 05:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Sep 18, 11:37 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $13 |
| Sep 18, 11:35 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 44.0% | $2 |
| Sep 17, 02:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $6 |
| Sep 15, 04:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 46.8% | $468 |
| Sep 08, 07:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Sep 05, 03:20 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.2% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Real Madrid at 55.0%. Next is Barcelona at 17.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2027-soccer-laliga-runner-up?via=bro
$3.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 36 markets.
The market is scheduled to end July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.laliga.com/.
Real Madrid, priced at 55.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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