Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $80M at 85.7% in 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $28.9K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $202.
Leading outcome
$80M
86%
A 85.7% price implies roughly a 86-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +0.2 pts7D +5.3 pts30D +24.3 pts
$80M85.7%
$40M85.3%
Bid
74¢
Ask
97¢
Spread
23¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since May 12, 2026: 40.1% – 85.7% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Category
Crypto, Pre-Market, FDV, 3Jane
Scheduled end
January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET
Total volume
$28.9K
Volume (24h)
$202
Liquidity
$58.0K
Markets
12
Leading outcome
$80M — 85.7%
Resolution source
https://x.com/3janexyz

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $80M, is priced at 85.7%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past week: +5.3 pts; past month: +24.3 pts.

Since May 12, 2026, $80M has traded between 40.1% and 85.7%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 85.7%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202679.8%
Oct 18, 202680.8%
Oct 19, 202684.3%
Oct 20, 202684.7%
Oct 23, 202685.5%
Oct 24, 202685.7%
Oct 24, 202685.7%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$80M is favored at 85.7%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$80M86¢85.7%+0.2 pts$9053.1%
$40M85¢85.3%-0.1 pts$1.9K6.5%
$100M74¢74.5%—$1.6K5.4%
$200M28¢28.5%-10.5 pts$2.6K9.0%
$300M16¢16.0%-1.0 pts$9013.1%
$600M13¢13.0%+0.4 pts$2.2K7.6%
$500M12¢12.0%-0.5 pts$1.7K6.0%
$400M10¢10.0%-1.0 pts$2.7K9.4%
$1B8¢8.5%+0.5 pts$1.3K4.6%
$800M8¢8.0%+0.5 pts$1.6K5.5%
$2B6¢5.6%-2.1 pts$9.0K31.2%
$1.5B4¢4.1%+0.1 pts$2.5K8.6%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 23¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$28.9K has been traded on this event in total, $202 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of 3Jane's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If 3Jane (https://x.com/3janexyz) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

Resolution source: https://x.com/3janexyz

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 338 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Ecstatic-FarmerYes338$290
Prudent-Realization-FarrowNo299$43
Belated-GlueYes49$42
Known-UseNo30$4
0x24d0cb65…No30$4
Black-And-White-InsertYes20$17
Wicked-FreightNo20$3
Plastic-DuckNo15$2
Useless-Kebab-SweatshopNo13$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $78 at 96.8%SELL No — $76 at 95.4%BUY No — $76 at 94.1%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 09:18 AM ETYesBUY5.7%$1
Oct 23, 11:23 PM ETYesSELL22.1%$43
Oct 14, 05:20 PM ETNoBUY63.0%$19
Oct 14, 08:05 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$11
Oct 14, 01:17 AM ETYesBUY6.0%$1
Oct 14, 01:17 AM ETNoSELL94.9%$9
Oct 14, 01:17 AM ETYesBUY5.7%$1
Oct 14, 01:17 AM ETNoSELL95.0%$38
Oct 14, 01:16 AM ETNoSELL87.0%$55
Oct 12, 09:07 PM ETYesBUY28.0%$5

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $80M at 85.7%. Next is $40M at 85.3%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/3jane-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro

How much money has been traded on 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch??

$28.9K in total volume, with $202 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.

When does 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://x.com/3janexyz.

What is the most likely outcome of 3Jane FDV above ___ one day after launch?, according to Polymarket traders?

$80M, priced at 85.7% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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