As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alphabet at 54.5% in 3rd Largest Company end of October? — $94.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Alphabet, is priced at 54.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: -25.0 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Alphabet has traded between 50.5% and 87.5%. It opened at 83.5% and last traded at 50.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 79.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 80.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 50.5% |
Alphabet is favored at 54.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alphabet | 55¢ | 54.5% | +4.0 pts | $27.7K | 29.3% |
| Company B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Company T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Microsoft | 46¢ | 46.0% | -0.5 pts | $33.9K | 35.8% |
| Apple | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $17.3K | 18.2% |
| NVIDIA | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $11.1K | 11.7% |
| Tesla | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.2K | 2.3% |
| Saudi Aramco | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $590 | 0.6% |
| Amazon | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 1.6% |
| Broadcom | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $210 | 0.2% |
| SpaceX | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $181 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 56¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$94.7K has been traded on this event in total, $218 of it in the last 24 hours, across 29 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 13,762 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 13,762 | $6.3K |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 6,186 | $3.4K |
| Political-Licence | No | 3,266 | $1.5K |
| Serpentine-Majority | Yes | 1,136 | $619 |
| Wry-Swing | Yes | 1,100 | $600 |
| Passionate-Composite | Yes | 1,000 | $545 |
| Aggressive-Lotion | Yes | 900 | $491 |
| Velvety-Burn | Yes | 896 | $488 |
| Nutritious-Emanate | Yes | 885 | $482 |
| Unhealthy-Prize | No | 866 | $394 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 54.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 03:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 48.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.1% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | No | SELL | 54.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 49.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 01:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alphabet at 54.5%. Next is Company B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/3rd-largest-company-end-of-october?via=bro
$94.7K in total volume, with $218 traded in the last 24 hours across 29 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Alphabet, priced at 54.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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