As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Person A at 50.0% in Abbotsford-Mission By-Election Winner — $137.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Person A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Person A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Pam Alexis | 4¢ | 3.8% | -1.1 pts | $72.3K | 52.7% |
| Kerry-Lynne Findlay | 4¢ | 3.5% | -2.4 pts | $61.0K | 44.4% |
| Lakhwinder Jhaj | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.4 pts | $4.0K | 2.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$137.2K has been traded on this event in total, $903 of it in the last 24 hours, across 30 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 07:59 PM ET.
A by-election in the British Columbia electoral district of Abbotsford-Mission is scheduled to take place on September 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election to the Legislative Assembly of British Columbia. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Elections BC (https://elections.bc.ca/).
Resolution source: https://elections.bc.ca/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 637 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 637 | $318 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 290 | $145 |
| Admirable-Trust | Yes | 86 | $43 |
| Necessary-Pentagon | Yes | 80 | $40 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 44 | $22 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Worthy-Jockey | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 40 | $20 |
| Corny-Microwave-Boudoir | Yes | 6 | $3 |
| Powerful-Waste | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.6% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.7% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 09:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 09:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.9% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 09:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.0% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 07:32 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.0% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 05:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 93.8% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Person A at 50.0%. Next is Person B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/abbotsford-mission-by-election-winner?via=bro
$137.2K in total volume, with $903 traded in the last 24 hours across 30 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 07:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://elections.bc.ca/.
Person A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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