As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 11.5% in Abdul-Malik al-Houthi out by...? — $170 traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 11.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -5.5 pts.
Since October 09, 2026, December 31 has traded between 11.5% and 26.5%. It opened at 19.0% and last traded at 11.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 14.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 15.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 13.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 12.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 11.5% |
December 31 is favored at 11.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 12¢ | 11.5% | — | $80 | 47.0% |
| November 30 | 8¢ | 7.5% | — | $90 | 53.0% |
| October 31 | 3¢ | 3.1% | -0.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 9¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$170 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 3 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abdul-Malik al-Houthi ceases to be the leader of the Houthis (Ansar Allah) for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abdul-Malik al-Houthi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abdul-Malik al-Houthi and the Houthis (Ansar Allah); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 26 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| bakayo33 - 9934 | No | 26 | $23 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | Yes | 19 | $2 |
| Pleasing-Watchmaker | Yes | 16 | $2 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 10 | $9 |
| Shady-Auditorium | Yes | 7 | $1 |
| Glum-Kitty | No | 6 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 03:36 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 06:17 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 06:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.0% | $5 |
| Oct 18, 05:54 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $28 |
| Oct 15, 11:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.1% | $2 |
| Oct 15, 03:08 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 07:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $8 |
| Oct 10, 02:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $8 |
| Oct 09, 03:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $4 |
| Oct 08, 10:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 64.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 11.5%. Next is November 30 at 7.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/abdul-malik-al-houthi-out-by?via=bro
$170 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 3 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 11.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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