As of October 24, 2026, 07:45 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $400M at 3.9% in Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $616.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $400M, is priced at 3.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.2 pts; past month: -22.6 pts.
Since January 29, 2026, $400M has traded between 1.3% and 89.0%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 3.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 1.6% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 1.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.3% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 3.1% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 3.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 3.9% |
$400M is favored at 3.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $400M | 4¢ | 3.9% | — | $97.8K | 15.9% |
| $3B | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $162.4K | 26.3% |
| $600M | 3¢ | 3.2% | +0.2 pts | $57.9K | 9.4% |
| $2.5B | 3¢ | 3.1% | +0.4 pts | $14.2K | 2.3% |
| $1.5B | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $13.9K | 2.3% |
| $2B | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $15.3K | 2.5% |
| $800M | 2¢ | 1.9% | +0.1 pts | $80.5K | 13.1% |
| $1B | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.6 pts | $34.3K | 5.6% |
| $200M | 2¢ | 1.7% | +0.1 pts | $140.6K | 22.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$616.8K has been traded on this event in total, $1.1K of it in the last 24 hours, across 9 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,751 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mad-Midnight | Yes | 5,751 | $224 |
| Pristine-Business | No | 3,102 | $3.0K |
| Unusual-Arithmetic | No | 2,500 | $2.4K |
| Sparse-Cookie | Yes | 1,553 | $61 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 1,114 | $43 |
| Far-Procurement | No | 890 | $855 |
| Uniform-Implication | No | 833 | $801 |
| Separate-Conga | No | 500 | $481 |
| Entire-Statue | No | 465 | $447 |
| Powerless-Listing | Yes | 424 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 09:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:48 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.2% | $178 |
| Oct 24, 09:13 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 04:16 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $97 |
| Oct 23, 04:16 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $64 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is $400M at 3.9%. Next is $3B at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/abstract-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$616.8K in total volume, with $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours across 9 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 01, 2028, 12:00 AM ET.
$400M, priced at 3.9% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.