As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Iran at 59.5% in AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group C Winner — $3.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Iran, is priced at 59.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -18.0 pts; past week: -18.0 pts; past month: -11.5 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Iran has traded between 21.0% and 78.5%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 56.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 73.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 56.0% |
Iran is favored at 59.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran | 60¢ | 59.5% | -18.0 pts | $3.0K | 83.1% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Syria | 10¢ | 10.2% | +1.8 pts | $278 | 7.7% |
| China | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $195 | 5.4% |
| Kyrgyzstan | 5¢ | 5.3% | +0.7 pts | $136 | 3.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 50¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$3.6K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group C at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 120 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worthy-Petitioner-Shark | Yes | 120 | $71 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 89 | $36 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | No | 31 | $13 |
| Pale-Birdwatcher | Yes | 30 | $18 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | No | 26 | $11 |
| Advanced-Mailer | Yes | 22 | $13 |
| Probable-Hypothesis | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Wretched-Myth-Downfall | Yes | 20 | $12 |
| Apt-Antecedent | No | 20 | $8 |
| Jealous-Bat | No | 20 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | SELL | 30.0% | $24 |
| Oct 24, 01:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 01:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 12:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 27.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:06 PM ET | No | SELL | 28.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:33 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 11:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 11:19 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.6% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Iran at 59.5%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/afc-asian-cup-2027-group-c-winner?via=bro
$3.6K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Iran, priced at 59.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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