As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Japan at 75.5% in AFC Asian Cup 2027: Group F Winner — $13.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Japan, is priced at 75.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +32.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Japan has traded between 24.0% and 83.0%. It opened at 24.0% and last traded at 75.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 67.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 71.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 75.5% |
Japan is favored at 75.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | 76¢ | 75.5% | +4.0 pts | $11.7K | 85.9% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Qatar | 16¢ | 16.5% | +9.0 pts | $1.3K | 9.4% |
| Indonesia | 3¢ | 2.5% | -2.6 pts | $314 | 2.3% |
| Thailand | 1¢ | 1.2% | -7.0 pts | $323 | 2.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 5¢ (bid 73¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.6K has been traded on this event in total, $3.0K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end February 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F at the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2027 AFC Asian Cup. If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 594 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 594 | $448 |
| Pure-Threat | No | 532 | $130 |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 500 | $378 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | No | 215 | $53 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 201 | $49 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 53 | $13 |
| Whimsical-Plaster-Celsius | Yes | 52 | $39 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 39 | $10 |
| Plump-Implementation | No | 28 | $7 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $15 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:12 PM ET | No | SELL | 82.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 01:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 17.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 07:33 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.2% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:31 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.7% | $99 |
| Oct 24, 07:30 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 07:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $23 |
| Oct 24, 07:26 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 27.7% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 04:40 AM ET | No | SELL | 74.0% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Japan at 75.5%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/afc-asian-cup-2027-group-f-winner?via=bro
$13.6K in total volume, with $3.0K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end February 05, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Japan, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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