As of October 24, 2026, 06:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price South Africa at 67.0% in AFCON 2027 Qualifying: Group D Winner — $19.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, South Africa, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +5.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, South Africa has traded between 17.5% and 78.5%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 67.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 63.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 67.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 67.0% |
South Africa is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa | 67¢ | 67.0% | -1.5 pts | $9.3K | 47.7% |
| Team A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Team B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Guinea | 15¢ | 15.0% | -15.0 pts | $5.4K | 27.6% |
| Kenya | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.7 pts | $2.2K | 11.2% |
| Eritrea | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $2.6K | 13.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 66¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$19.5K has been traded on this event in total, $1.5K of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D at the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification. If the 2027 Africa Cup of Nations qualification is cancelled, postponed after April 13, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from CAF; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,469 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,469 | $485 |
| Ancient-Interviewer-Prison | Yes | 834 | $559 |
| Bulky-Helo-Athlete | Yes | 487 | $326 |
| Thorny-Peacoat | Yes | 286 | $192 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 76 | $51 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 63 | $21 |
| Soulful-Remains-Chorus | No | 49 | $16 |
| Sizzling-Scallion | Yes | 45 | $30 |
| Unhealthy-Drive-Offset | Yes | 40 | $27 |
| Serious-Bureau | No | 40 | $13 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 67.0% | $134 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 35.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 01:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 30.3% | $115 |
| Oct 24, 11:25 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 09:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 67.0% | $61 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 69.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 66.6% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 64.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is South Africa at 67.0%. Next is Team A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/afcon-2027-qualifying-group-d-winner?via=bro
$19.5K in total volume, with $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
South Africa, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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