As of October 24, 2026, 08:53 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 55-64 at 48.0% in Age of 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee? — $4.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 55-64, is priced at 48.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +28.5 pts; past month: +16.5 pts.
Since September 15, 2026, 55-64 has traded between 13.0% and 48.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 46.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 23.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 18.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 20.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 37.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 48.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 46.0% |
55-64 is favored at 48.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55-64 | 48¢ | 48.0% | +2.0 pts | $463 | 11.2% |
| Under 45 | 36¢ | 36.5% | -0.5 pts | $1.9K | 46.8% |
| 45-54 | 22¢ | 22.0% | -4.0 pts | $989 | 24.0% |
| 85+ | 13¢ | 12.6% | -10.7 pts | $284 | 6.9% |
| 65-74 | 7¢ | 6.8% | +0.2 pts | $252 | 6.1% |
| 75-84 | 5¢ | 4.7% | — | $202 | 4.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 24¢ (bid 36¢ / ask 60¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end August 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the age of the individual who formally wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president. The individual's age will be calculated on the day on which they accept the nomination. A person will be considered to have advanced from one age to the next immediately upon the beginning of the calendar day of their day of birth. In the event that no individual has won and accepted such nomination by November 7, 2028, this market will resolve to the lowest listed bracket. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources and official public records; however, a consensus of credible sources may suffice.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 173 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 173 | $90 |
| Unselfish-Mineral-Sunday | Yes | 160 | $77 |
| Tricky-Usher | Yes | 59 | $28 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 48 | $25 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 20 | $10 |
| Hoarse-Region-Revitalisation | Yes | 19 | $9 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 06:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 06:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 06:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 45.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 04:27 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 11, 11:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $0 |
| Oct 11, 11:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $0 |
| Oct 10, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
| Oct 10, 06:31 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is 55-64 at 48.0%. Next is Under 45 at 36.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/age-of-2028-democratic-presidential-nominee?via=bro
$4.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end August 30, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.
55-64, priced at 48.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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