As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Candidate A at 50.0% in Aguascalientes Governor Election Winner — $55.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Candidate A, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.0 pts; past week: +0.0 pts; past month: +0.0 pts.
Candidate A is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Candidate Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Antonio Martín del Campo | 44¢ | 44.5% | +1.0 pts | $15.0K | 26.8% |
| Leonardo Montañez Castro | 38¢ | 38.5% | -1.5 pts | $12.0K | 21.5% |
| Nora Ruvalcaba Gámez | 16¢ | 16.0% | +5.0 pts | $13.0K | 23.4% |
| Ricardo Rodríguez Vargas | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 2.8% |
| Aldo Ruiz Sánchez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 2.9% |
| Humberto Ambriz Delgadillo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.7K | 3.0% |
| Kendor Macías | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 2.8% |
| Leticia Olivares | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.5K | 2.8% |
| Arturo Ávila Anaya | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.2% |
| Salma Luévano Luna | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $940 | 1.7% |
| Genny Janeth López Valenzuela | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.0% |
| Ana Gómez Calzada | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.2% |
| Lorena Martínez Rodríguez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.2K | 2.1% |
| Anayeli Muñoz Moreno | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 1.9% |
| Karla Arely Espinoza | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.1K | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 100¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$55.8K has been traded on this event in total, $423 of it in the last 24 hours, across 42 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Aguascalientes on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Aguascalientes gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Aguascalientes and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Aguascalientes and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,730 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,730 | $865 |
| Grown-Fence | Yes | 281 | $141 |
| Giant-Otter-Recruit | Yes | 273 | $137 |
| Broken-Idea | Yes | 206 | $103 |
| Victorious-Tape-Max | Yes | 182 | $91 |
| Tepid-Monopoly | Yes | 138 | $69 |
| Puny-Forgery-Efficiency | Yes | 60 | $30 |
| Blind-Leaf | Yes | 53 | $27 |
| Joint-Lard | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Spirited-Priest | Yes | 50 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 47.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 06:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 46.0% | $45 |
| Oct 24, 02:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 01:59 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 59.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 43.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 04:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 03:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 02:57 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 36.0% | $18 |
| Oct 23, 10:45 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Candidate A at 50.0%. Next is Candidate B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/aguascalientes-governor-election-winner-20260803170329?via=bro
$55.8K in total volume, with $423 traded in the last 24 hours across 42 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 06, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Candidate A, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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