As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Marilyn Crawford at 83.0% in Ajax, ON Mayoral Election Winner — $4.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Marilyn Crawford, is priced at 83.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +4.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.
Since September 08, 2026, Marilyn Crawford has traded between 68.0% and 84.0%. It opened at 68.5% and last traded at 83.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 83.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 83.0% |
Marilyn Crawford is favored at 83.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marilyn Crawford | 83¢ | 83.0% | +4.0 pts | $3.1K | 70.6% |
| Person A | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person B | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person C | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person D | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person E | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person F | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person G | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person H | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person I | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person J | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person K | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person L | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person M | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person N | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person O | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person P | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Q | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person R | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person S | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person T | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person U | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person V | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person W | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person X | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Y | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Person Z | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Other | 50¢ | 50.0% | +0.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Vian Persad | 15¢ | 14.9% | +10.5 pts | $229 | 5.2% |
| Ashmeed Khan | 13¢ | 13.0% | -1.5 pts | $663 | 15.0% |
| Carion Fenn | 4¢ | 3.9% | -1.1 pts | $218 | 4.9% |
| Richard Hinds | 1¢ | 0.8% | -0.1 pts | $192 | 4.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 81¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.4K has been traded on this event in total, $132 of it in the last 24 hours, across 32 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
The 2026 Ajax, Ontario mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ajax, Ontario as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ajax, Ontario.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 495 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 495 | $411 |
| Motionless-Administration | No | 323 | $55 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 152 | $26 |
| Quarterly-Locker | Yes | 82 | $68 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 69 | $12 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | Yes | 51 | $42 |
| Weepy-Bidet | No | 50 | $8 |
| 0x3c1133ef… | Yes | 49 | $41 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 30 | $5 |
| 0x46299616… | No | 30 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:07 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 19.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 84.6% | $36 |
| Oct 23, 04:22 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.6% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 02:16 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 22, 08:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $47 |
| Oct 22, 05:06 PM ET | No | BUY | 18.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Marilyn Crawford at 83.0%. Next is Person A at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ajax-mayoral-election-winner-2026?via=bro
$4.4K in total volume, with $132 traded in the last 24 hours across 32 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 PM ET.
Marilyn Crawford, priced at 83.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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