Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

AL-07 House Election Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Terri Sewell (D) at 96.8% in AL-07 House Election Winner — $95.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $488.
Leading outcome
Terri Sewell (D)
97%
A 96.8% price implies roughly a 97-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.2 pts7D −0.9 pts30D −1.1 pts
Terri Sewell (D)96.8%
Ammie Akin (R)3.4%
Bid
95¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
3¢
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Range since January 28, 2026: 50.0% – 98.9% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
AL-07 House Election Winner
Category
Politics, Elections, Nov 4 Elections, Midterms, House Elections, Alabama Midterm, US Election
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$95.2K
Volume (24h)
$488
Liquidity
$68.4K
Markets
8
Leading outcome
Terri Sewell (D) — 96.8%
Resolution source
https://www.fec.gov/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Terri Sewell (D), is priced at 96.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.2 pts; past week: -0.9 pts; past month: -1.1 pts.

Since January 28, 2026, Terri Sewell (D) has traded between 50.0% and 98.9%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 96.8%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202697.7%
Oct 18, 202697.8%
Oct 19, 202697.9%
Oct 20, 202697.8%
Oct 22, 202698.0%
Oct 23, 202696.2%
Oct 24, 202696.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Terri Sewell (D) is favored at 96.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Terri Sewell (D)97¢96.8%-1.2 pts$34.2K35.9%
Ammie Akin (R)3¢3.4%+1.6 pts$61.0K64.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 95¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$95.2K has been traded on this event in total, $488 of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Resolution source: https://www.fec.gov/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,979 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No2,979$95
Woeful-Wrinkle-ApproachYes1,861$1.8K
Yellow-SpeculationYes1,190$1.2K
Tame-RankYes773$748
Belated-GlueNo534$17
Improbable-ResponsibilityYes482$467
Snappy-RoosterNo481$15
Honest-SimilarityNo450$14
Raw-AffectYes400$387
Frozen-CarYes300$290

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.2K at 99.4%SELL No — $317 at 99.4%BUY Yes — $198 at 98.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETNoBUY96.6%$2
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETNoBUY3.4%$0
Oct 24, 06:10 AM ETYesSELL96.6%$14
Oct 24, 04:31 AM ETYesSELL96.6%$0
Oct 24, 03:05 AM ETYesSELL96.6%$26
Oct 24, 02:56 AM ETNoSELL3.9%$1
Oct 23, 07:09 PM ETYesBUY3.0%$3
Oct 23, 07:09 PM ETNoBUY4.6%$0
Oct 23, 07:07 PM ETNoBUY4.7%$1
Oct 23, 07:07 PM ETYesBUY6.4%$1

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of AL-07 House Election Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Terri Sewell (D) at 96.8%. Next is Ammie Akin (R) at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/al-07-house-election-winner?via=bro

How much money has been traded on AL-07 House Election Winner?

$95.2K in total volume, with $488 traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.

When does AL-07 House Election Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.fec.gov/.

What is the most likely outcome of AL-07 House Election Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Terri Sewell (D), priced at 96.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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