As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 87.5% in Alaska passes ballot measure banning noncitizens from voting? — $1.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 87.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.
Since October 01, 2026, Yes has traded between 56.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 94.5% and last traded at 87.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 87.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 87.5% |
Yes is favored at 87.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 88¢ | 87.5% | — | $1.7K | 100.0% |
| No | 12¢ | 12.5% | — | $1.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 87¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Alaska Ballot Measure 3 is a citizen-initiated measure that is scheduled to appear as a ballot measure in Alaska in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would amend state law to provide that only a person who is a citizen of the United States may vote in any election in Alaska. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 256 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 256 | $32 |
| Liquid-Argument | Yes | 159 | $139 |
| Measly-Gelatin | Yes | 101 | $88 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 71 | $62 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 32 | $4 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | No | 30 | $4 |
| Sizzling-Patience | No | 25 | $3 |
| Dense-Whip | Yes | 21 | $18 |
| 0x28a66540… | No | 17 | $2 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 12 | $11 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 12:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 06:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $13 |
| Oct 18, 06:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $13 |
| Oct 18, 05:03 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $13 |
| Oct 17, 09:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $4 |
| Oct 16, 08:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 73.0% | $15 |
| Oct 14, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $9 |
| Oct 14, 01:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 60.0% | $3 |
| Oct 14, 01:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 12, 03:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 83.0% | $59 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 87.5%. Next is No at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-passes-ballot-measure-banning-noncitizens-from-voting?via=bro
$1.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 87.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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