As of October 24, 2026, 09:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 69.0% in Alaska passes ballot measure repealing ranked choice voting? — $852 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 69.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: -7.5 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since August 21, 2026, No has traded between 49.5% and 80.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 68.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 61.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 68.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 68.0% |
No is favored at 69.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 69¢ | 69.0% | +0.5 pts | $852 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 31¢ | 31.0% | -0.5 pts | $852 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 23¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$852 has been traded on this event in total, $107 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Alaska Ballot Measure 2 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would eliminate the top-four primaries and ranked-choice voting general elections in Alaska, among other items. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Alaska statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Alaska, including the Alaska Division of Elections (https://www.elections.alaska.gov/).
Resolution source: https://www.elections.alaska.gov/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 86 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Those-Skywalk | No | 86 | $59 |
| Joyous-Catalyst | Yes | 72 | $22 |
| 0x6d6514eab960a4afa0ce9b6d2a60039dabc23781 | No | 50 | $34 |
| Powerless-Bijou | Yes | 49 | $15 |
| Past-Disguise | Yes | 30 | $9 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 23 | $16 |
| Skeletal-Liver | No | 17 | $11 |
| Appropriate-Antennae-Layer | Yes | 15 | $5 |
| Esteemed-Conduct | Yes | 10 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:34 AM ET | No | SELL | 60.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 07:32 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 06:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 06:28 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 26.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 67.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 06:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 06:07 AM ET | No | BUY | 68.0% | $27 |
| Oct 21, 11:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 37.0% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 10:59 PM ET | No | BUY | 62.0% | $31 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 69.0%. Next is Yes at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-passes-ballot-measure-repealing-ranked-choice-voting?via=bro
$852 in total volume, with $107 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.elections.alaska.gov/.
No, priced at 69.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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