Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

As of October 24, 2026, 06:30 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Dems sweep at 71.0% in Alaska Senate and Governor Combo — $67.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.7K.
Leading outcome
Dems sweep
71%
A 71.0% price implies roughly a 71-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −1.5 pts30D +3.0 pts
Dems sweep71.0%
Other50.0%
Bid
70¢
Ask
72¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 11, 2026: 23.5% – 73.5% · Opened at 34.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Alaska Senate and Governor Combo
Category
Politics, election, Tom Begich, US Election, Dan Sullivan, Dave Bronson, Mary Peltola, Alaska Midterm, Bernadette Wilson, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Scheduled end
November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$67.3K
Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Liquidity
$144.5K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
Dems sweep — 71.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Dems sweep, is priced at 71.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.5 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.

Since August 11, 2026, Dems sweep has traded between 23.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 34.5% and last traded at 71.0%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202669.5%
Oct 15, 202668.5%
Oct 16, 202673.5%
Oct 18, 202672.0%
Oct 19, 202671.5%
Oct 20, 202670.5%
Oct 23, 202671.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Dems sweep is favored at 71.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Dems sweep71¢71.0%—$48.7K72.3%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate15¢15.0%—$6.4K9.5%
Reps sweep12¢12.5%-1.0 pts$8.8K13.0%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate1¢1.4%-0.3 pts$3.5K5.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 70¢ / ask 72¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$67.3K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the outcome of both the Gubernatorial and United States Senate general elections in Alaska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with the party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,000 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Pitiful-PatienceYes10,000$7.1K
Severe-Bride-RecruitNo4,001$1.2K
0xa5ef39c3…No2,593$752
Bad-Fool-EnrollmentNo2,343$680
Dearest-AgendaYes937$665
Partial-AdrenalinNo916$266
0x91c363ac…Yes681$483
Ordinary-ConfectioneryNo588$171
Prickly-EyrieNo545$158
Thorny-Glance-FeastNo405$117

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $490 at 72.0%BUY No — $191 at 95.7%BUY No — $128 at 85.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:24 PM ETYesSELL11.0%$0
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY29.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY29.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY28.7%$14
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY28.0%$15
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY87.0%$41
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY89.0%$18
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETNoBUY87.0%$46
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETYesBUY16.0%$3
Oct 24, 04:21 PM ETYesBUY15.0%$2

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Alaska Senate and Governor Combo?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Dems sweep at 71.0%. Next is Other at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alaska-senate-and-governor-combo-20260810210432707?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Alaska Senate and Governor Combo?

$67.3K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Alaska Senate and Governor Combo end?

The market is scheduled to end November 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Alaska Senate and Governor Combo, according to Polymarket traders?

Dems sweep, priced at 71.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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