Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 75.5% in Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027? — $44 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
76%
A 75.5% price implies roughly a 76-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −5.5 pts
No75.5%
Yes24.5%
Bid
19¢
Ask
30¢
Spread
11¢
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Range since October 24, 2026: 75.5% – 76.0% · Opened at 76.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?
Category
World, Canada, alberta, Politics, Elections, Global Elections
Scheduled end
March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$44
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$108
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 75.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 75.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -5.5 pts.

Since October 24, 2026, No has traded between 75.5% and 76.0%. It opened at 76.0% and last traded at 75.5%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 75.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No76¢75.5%+5.5 pts$44100.0%
Yes24¢24.5%-5.5 pts$44100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 19¢ / ask 30¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$44 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Alberta between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Legislative Assembly of Alberta before the next scheduled general election. A dissolution of the Legislative Assembly by the Lieutenant Governor of Alberta, and any other means provided for by the laws of Alberta, all qualify. An announcement of an intention to call an election, a failed vote of no confidence, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The election need not take place by the deadline. Once a qualifying election is formally ordered or scheduled, its subsequent cancellation or postponement will not affect resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Alberta and the Legislative Assembly of Alberta; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 22 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Gloomy-FrigateYes22$5
Plump-ImplementationNo20$15
Winged-MakerNo2$2

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $3 at 14.0%BUY Yes — $3 at 14.0%SELL No — $2 at 76.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 21, 01:28 PM ETNoSELL76.0%$2
Oct 21, 01:25 PM ETYesBUY14.0%$3
Oct 21, 01:25 PM ETYesBUY14.0%$3

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 75.5%. Next is Yes at 24.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alberta-snap-election-called-by-march-31-2027?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027??

$44 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027? end?

The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Alberta snap election called by March 31, 2027?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 75.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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