As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $50M at 53.5% in AlloX FDV above ___ one day after launch? — $8.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $50M, is priced at 53.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +13.0 pts; past week: -19.0 pts.
Since October 06, 2026, $50M has traded between 50.0% and 82.0%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 54.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 69.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 54.5% |
$50M is favored at 53.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $50M | 54¢ | 53.5% | +13.0 pts | $756 | 8.5% |
| $65M | 31¢ | 31.0% | — | $1.2K | 13.3% |
| $80M | 28¢ | 28.5% | -3.5 pts | $2.0K | 21.9% |
| $100M | 18¢ | 17.5% | +2.0 pts | $3.6K | 40.7% |
| $150M | 12¢ | 11.5% | +0.5 pts | $986 | 11.1% |
| $200M | 8¢ | 8.0% | +1.0 pts | $398 | 4.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 59¢ (bid 24¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.9K has been traded on this event in total, $157 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of AlloX's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by AlloX after the creation of this market will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If AlloX (https://x.com/alloxdotai) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 158 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monumental-Injustice | Yes | 158 | $85 |
| Incredible-Pickup | No | 95 | $44 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 85 | $39 |
| Svelte-Ascot | Yes | 41 | $22 |
| Wary-Seal | No | 21 | $10 |
| Wet-Event | No | 20 | $9 |
| Primary-Reciprocity-Ethernet | No | 20 | $9 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 15 | $8 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 11 | $6 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | Yes | 10 | $5 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 22.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:39 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 24.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 03:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $44 |
| Oct 23, 08:37 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 17.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 01:58 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $86 |
| Oct 23, 05:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.0% | $26 |
| Oct 22, 03:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $12 |
| Oct 22, 03:15 AM ET | No | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 22, 12:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $50M at 53.5%. Next is $65M at 31.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/allox-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch?via=bro
$8.9K in total volume, with $157 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
$50M, priced at 53.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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