As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 86% to 88% at 34.0% in Allstate (ALL) Q3 property-liability combined ratio? — $7.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 86% to 88%, is priced at 34.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -9.0 pts; past week: -27.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, 86% to 88% has traded between 14.0% and 85.5%. It opened at 14.0% and last traded at 34.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 14.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 26.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 53.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 34.0% |
86% to 88% is favored at 34.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86% to 88% | 34¢ | 34.0% | -9.0 pts | $4.8K | 60.1% |
| <86% | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.0 pts | $1.4K | 17.1% |
| 92%+ | 12¢ | 12.3% | +3.4 pts | $871 | 11.0% |
| 88% to 90% | 8¢ | 8.4% | -0.4 pts | $530 | 6.7% |
| 90% to 92% | 4¢ | 4.4% | — | $405 | 5.1% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 37¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$7.9K has been traded on this event in total, $404 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to Allstate's property-liability combined ratio for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 653 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 653 | $222 |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 354 | $234 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 216 | $143 |
| Right-Institute | No | 208 | $138 |
| Unusual-Snug-Bongo | No | 153 | $101 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 115 | $39 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Yes | 80 | $27 |
| Elated-Conspirator-Copying | Yes | 80 | $27 |
| Evil-Row | No | 76 | $50 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | No | 65 | $43 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 34.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 01:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 01:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 01:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 02:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 77.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 02:39 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 02:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 01:39 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 10:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 10:52 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is 86% to 88% at 34.0%. Next is <86% at 25.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/allstate-all-q3-property-liability-combined-ratio-20261008120129000?via=bro
$7.9K in total volume, with $404 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 04, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
86% to 88%, priced at 34.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.