As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 67.0% in Alofoke forms party in DR by June 30, 2027? — $45.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 67.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts; past month: -6.0 pts.
Since August 06, 2026, Yes has traded between 43.5% and 75.0%. It opened at 69.0% and last traded at 67.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 74.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 65.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 62.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 66.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 67.5% |
Yes is favored at 67.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67¢ | 67.0% | -0.5 pts | $45.9K | 100.0% |
| No | 33¢ | 33.0% | +0.5 pts | $45.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 66¢ / ask 68¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$45.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new party where Alofoke, otherwise known as Santiago Matías, is in a leadership position is officially recognised by the Central Electoral Board of the Dominican Republic (JCE) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying party must be newly formed and gain full recognition from the JCE by the listed date (see: https://jce.gob.do/Partidos-Politicos). A party will not qualify if it is an existing party that was simply renamed or recomposed with Alofoke in leadership. Alofoke must be in a leadership position of the party. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the Dominican Republic, including the JCE (https://jce.gob.do).
Resolution source: https://jce.gob.do
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,701 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics | No | 4,701 | $1.6K |
| Smooth-Hydraulics | Yes | 1,914 | $1.3K |
| Strange-Comma-Programming | Yes | 1,901 | $1.3K |
| Original-Toll | Yes | 1,259 | $844 |
| Courteous-Lyocell-Basement | No | 857 | $283 |
| Villainous-Crook | No | 721 | $238 |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 616 | $203 |
| Charming-Grape | Yes | 425 | $285 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | Yes | 344 | $230 |
| Bustling-Mariachi-Pumpkinseed | Yes | 329 | $220 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 03:17 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 66.0% | $7 |
| Oct 22, 03:39 AM ET | No | SELL | 32.0% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 07:29 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 07:23 PM ET | No | SELL | 35.0% | $20 |
| Oct 21, 07:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.4% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 07:23 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $3 |
| Oct 20, 07:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 36.0% | $14 |
| Oct 20, 07:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 07:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 33.0% | $7 |
| Oct 20, 07:31 PM ET | No | SELL | 38.0% | $8 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 67.0%. Next is No at 33.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/alofoke-forms-party-in-dr-by-june-30-2027?via=bro
$45.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://jce.gob.do.
Yes, priced at 67.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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