As of October 24, 2026, 08:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 97.4% in America.gov removed by October 31? — $5.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.2 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, No has traded between 96.9% and 97.8%. It opened at 97.3% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.2% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 97.4% |
No is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 97.4% | — | $5.4K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $5.4K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.4K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if public access to America.gov is removed in the United States for any reason between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A removal means the website is no longer publicly accessible at america.gov. Redirection of america.gov to another domain will qualify. Changes to the site’s content, features, or branding, and the removal of individual pages, tools, or functions while the site otherwise remains accessible, will not qualify. Outages, scheduled maintenance, capacity limitations, and other access disruptions due to technical issues will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the White House, the America.gov website, and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,213 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 1,213 | $1.2K |
| Impartial-Sailboat | No | 556 | $542 |
| Velvety-Patent | Yes | 470 | $12 |
| Calculating-Skirt | Yes | 397 | $11 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 335 | $9 |
| Murky-Federation-Helo | Yes | 230 | $6 |
| Experienced-Carpeting | No | 201 | $196 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 200 | $5 |
| Shameless-Workout-Orchard | Yes | 134 | $4 |
| Impartial-Fame | Yes | 124 | $3 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 09, 11:28 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.2% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 11:26 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 05:00 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.5% | $5 |
| Oct 04, 11:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.5% | $10 |
| Oct 04, 06:28 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $197 |
| Oct 04, 05:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.4% | $0 |
| Oct 04, 05:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $6 |
| Oct 04, 05:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.0% | $6 |
| Oct 04, 05:40 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.2% | $6 |
| Oct 04, 05:40 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 97.4%. Next is Yes at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/americaptgov-removed-by-october-31-1?via=bro
$5.4K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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