Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 61.0% in Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? — $3.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $105.
Leading outcome
Yes
61%
A 61.0% price implies roughly a 61-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts7D +31.5 pts
Yes61.0%
No39.0%
Bid
59¢
Ask
63¢
Spread
4¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 16, 2026: 52.0% – 61.5% · Opened at 55.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
Category
Finance, Earnings, Hide From New, Equities, AMZN
Scheduled end
October 29, 2026, 05:00 PM ET
Total volume
$3.0K
Volume (24h)
$105
Liquidity
$1.1K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Yes — 61.0%
Resolution source
https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AMZN/earnings

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 61.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: +31.5 pts.

Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 52.0% and 61.5%. It opened at 55.5% and last traded at 61.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202655.5%
Oct 18, 202653.0%
Oct 19, 202652.0%
Oct 20, 202653.0%
Oct 23, 202660.0%
Oct 24, 202661.0%
Oct 24, 202661.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Yes is favored at 61.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Yes61¢61.0%-2.5 pts$3.0K100.0%
No39¢39.0%+2.5 pts$3.0K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 59¢ / ask 63¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.0K has been traded on this event in total, $105 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 05:00 PM ET.

As of market creation, Amazon is estimated to release earnings on October 29, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Amazon's GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $2.00 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Amazon reports GAAP EPS greater than $2.00 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Amazon releases earnings without GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve to “No”. If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets reflect the selected street consensus estimate for GAAP EPS as of market creation. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AMZN/earnings

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 826 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Frosty-FundingNo826$322
Chief-PlotYes500$305
Awesome-AvailabilityNo293$114
Appropriate-BannerYes256$156
0x3564035c…Yes172$105
Giving-CriteriaNo162$63
Realistic-SailingYes82$50
Cool-PattypanNo80$31
Amazing-Antelope-ShakedownYes78$48
Infatuated-NunNo70$27

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $100 at 58.0%SELL Yes — $51 at 60.4%BUY Yes — $50 at 60.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:44 AM ETNoSELL41.8%$2
Oct 24, 03:32 AM ETNoBUY42.0%$42
Oct 23, 10:49 AM ETYesSELL56.7%$12
Oct 23, 09:49 AM ETYesBUY60.8%$50
Oct 22, 10:29 PM ETYesSELL60.0%$24
Oct 22, 09:42 AM ETYesBUY61.0%$10
Oct 22, 09:22 AM ETYesBUY62.0%$4
Oct 22, 07:07 AM ETYesSELL59.7%$6
Oct 22, 06:03 AM ETNoSELL38.0%$1
Oct 22, 06:03 AM ETNoBUY43.3%$22

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 61.0%. Next is No at 39.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/amzn-quarterly-earnings-gaap-eps-10-29-2026-2pt00?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings??

$3.0K in total volume, with $105 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 29, 2026, 05:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://seekingalpha.com/symbol/AMZN/earnings.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?, according to Polymarket traders?

Yes, priced at 61.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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