As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30 at 46.0% in Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by...? — $99.4K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, is priced at 46.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -12.0 pts; past week: -14.5 pts; past month: -4.5 pts.
Since September 04, 2026, June 30 has traded between 29.5% and 71.5%. It opened at 49.0% and last traded at 46.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 45.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 44.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 54.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 46.0% |
June 30 is favored at 46.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 46¢ | 46.0% | -12.0 pts | $6.3K | 6.3% |
| December 31 | 6¢ | 6.0% | — | $5.2K | 5.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 6¢ (bid 43¢ / ask 49¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$99.4K has been traded on this event in total, $410 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Tate is extradited to the United Kingdom between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited to the United Kingdom" means Tate is physically transferred to U.K. government custody pursuant to an extradition process or equivalent custody transfer process. If Tate otherwise enters U.K. territory and is subsequently arrested or taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date, this will also qualify. An announcement that extradition has been requested, approved, ordered, or agreed to will not qualify unless Tate is physically transferred to, arrested by, or otherwise taken into U.K. government custody by the market's end date. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Andrew Tate, the governments of the United States and United Kingdom, and relevant courts; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 291 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minty-Maternity | Yes | 291 | $134 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $109 |
| Mysterious-Iris | No | 170 | $92 |
| Helpful-Cheese | No | 160 | $86 |
| Evil-Row | No | 98 | $53 |
| Untimely-Mood | No | 73 | $39 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 62 | $33 |
| Infatuated-Nun | No | 60 | $32 |
| Spicy-Acrylic | No | 50 | $27 |
| Crazy-Stirfry | No | 50 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 48.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 46.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.3% | $176 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 47.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 44.0% | $9 |
| Oct 23, 07:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 23, 07:41 PM ET | No | SELL | 40.0% | $8 |
| Oct 21, 11:18 AM ET | No | SELL | 44.0% | $7 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30 at 46.0%. Next is December 31 at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/andrew-tate-extradited-to-uk-by-sep-30-20260719022813213?via=bro
$99.4K in total volume, with $410 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, priced at 46.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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