Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Anduril at 66.0% in Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? — $12.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Anduril
66%
A 66.0% price implies roughly a 66-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −3.0 pts7D +16.0 pts30D +13.5 pts
Anduril66.0%
Lockheed Martin34.0%
Bid
53¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
26¢
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Range since May 19, 2026: 13.5% – 73.5% · Opened at 58.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
Category
Finance, Privates, Palmer Luckey, Big Tech, AI, defense
Scheduled end
January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$12.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$301
Markets
1
Leading outcome
Anduril — 66.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Anduril, is priced at 66.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +16.0 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.

Since May 19, 2026, Anduril has traded between 13.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 66.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202622.5%
Oct 16, 202622.5%
Oct 18, 202656.0%
Oct 19, 202654.5%
Oct 20, 202650.5%
Oct 23, 202669.0%
Oct 24, 202666.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Anduril is favored at 66.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Anduril66¢66.0%-3.0 pts$12.0K100.0%
Lockheed Martin34¢34.0%+3.0 pts$12.0K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$12.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,185 shares of Anduril.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Belated-GlueAnduril1,185$782
Idolized-PerspectiveLockheed Martin1,000$340
Teeming-PuppetAnduril844$557
Miniature-LeprosyLockheed Martin282$96
Snappy-RoosterLockheed Martin276$94
Flamboyant-WarmingLockheed Martin170$58
Evil-RowLockheed Martin161$55
Vibrant-Minority-LaceLockheed Martin100$34
Infatuated-NunLockheed Martin60$20
Uncommon-Gutter-StanceLockheed Martin28$10

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Anduril — $283 at 23.9%BUY Anduril — $79 at 21.0%BUY Lockheed Martin — $54 at 77.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 18, 09:52 AM ETLockheed MartinSELL27.0%$40
Oct 17, 04:27 PM ETAndurilSELL32.0%$0
Oct 17, 07:41 AM ETLockheed MartinBUY35.6%$10
Oct 17, 07:09 AM ETAndurilBUY81.4%$5
Oct 17, 03:56 AM ETLockheed MartinBUY72.0%$36
Oct 17, 03:55 AM ETAndurilBUY36.2%$14
Oct 17, 03:54 AM ETAndurilBUY23.0%$23
Oct 17, 03:54 AM ETAndurilBUY23.0%$23
Oct 17, 03:54 AM ETAndurilBUY23.0%$11
Oct 17, 03:54 AM ETLockheed MartinBUY77.0%$54

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Anduril at 66.0%. Next is Lockheed Martin at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anduril-vs-lockheed-martin-higher-valuation-on-december-31?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31??

$12.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? end?

The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?, according to Polymarket traders?

Anduril, priced at 66.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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