As of October 24, 2026, 08:17 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Anduril at 66.0% in Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31? — $12.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Anduril, is priced at 66.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -3.0 pts; past week: +16.0 pts; past month: +13.5 pts.
Since May 19, 2026, Anduril has traded between 13.5% and 73.5%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 66.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 50.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 69.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 66.0% |
Anduril is favored at 66.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anduril | 66¢ | 66.0% | -3.0 pts | $12.0K | 100.0% |
| Lockheed Martin | 34¢ | 34.0% | +3.0 pts | $12.0K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 53¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$12.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to the listed company with the larger valuation, as measured by the final NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) and the official closing price for the public company, for December 31, 2026. NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for the specified date by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the latest data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the specified date, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the private company completes an IPO or direct listing before the specified date, this market will resolve according to the company's public market capitalization at the market close of the specified date or the most recent trading day. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,185 shares of Anduril.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Anduril | 1,185 | $782 |
| Idolized-Perspective | Lockheed Martin | 1,000 | $340 |
| Teeming-Puppet | Anduril | 844 | $557 |
| Miniature-Leprosy | Lockheed Martin | 282 | $96 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Lockheed Martin | 276 | $94 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Lockheed Martin | 170 | $58 |
| Evil-Row | Lockheed Martin | 161 | $55 |
| Vibrant-Minority-Lace | Lockheed Martin | 100 | $34 |
| Infatuated-Nun | Lockheed Martin | 60 | $20 |
| Uncommon-Gutter-Stance | Lockheed Martin | 28 | $10 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 09:52 AM ET | Lockheed Martin | SELL | 27.0% | $40 |
| Oct 17, 04:27 PM ET | Anduril | SELL | 32.0% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 07:41 AM ET | Lockheed Martin | BUY | 35.6% | $10 |
| Oct 17, 07:09 AM ET | Anduril | BUY | 81.4% | $5 |
| Oct 17, 03:56 AM ET | Lockheed Martin | BUY | 72.0% | $36 |
| Oct 17, 03:55 AM ET | Anduril | BUY | 36.2% | $14 |
| Oct 17, 03:54 AM ET | Anduril | BUY | 23.0% | $23 |
| Oct 17, 03:54 AM ET | Anduril | BUY | 23.0% | $23 |
| Oct 17, 03:54 AM ET | Anduril | BUY | 23.0% | $11 |
| Oct 17, 03:54 AM ET | Lockheed Martin | BUY | 77.0% | $54 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Anduril at 66.0%. Next is Lockheed Martin at 34.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anduril-vs-lockheed-martin-higher-valuation-on-december-31?via=bro
$12.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 04, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Anduril, priced at 66.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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