As of October 24, 2026, 08:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 7.4% in Andy Burnham out as UK PM by...? — $35.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 7.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.4 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +1.1 pts.
Since July 20, 2026, December 31 has traded between 4.0% and 9.5%. It opened at 8.0% and last traded at 7.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 5.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 6.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 6.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 7.3% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 7.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 7.4% |
December 31 is favored at 7.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 7¢ | 7.4% | +0.4 pts | $33.9K | 94.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$35.9K has been traded on this event in total, $182 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Andy Burnham's departure as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The departure will be considered to be announced when Andy Burnham, the Government of the United Kingdom, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Burnham has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person's resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither "I will leave office in 2 years," nor "I will not be in office forever," would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 19,977 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Speedy-Filth-Carter | Yes | 19,977 | $1.5K |
| Mellow-Settlement | No | 7,889 | $7.3K |
| Fair-Pace | No | 3,393 | $3.1K |
| Fearful-Independence | No | 2,947 | $2.7K |
| Damaged-Professor | Yes | 2,915 | $216 |
| Fresh-Ordinary | No | 2,146 | $2.0K |
| Flat-Badger | No | 1,855 | $1.7K |
| Sturdy-Grouse | No | 1,548 | $1.4K |
| Adolescent-Trousers | No | 1,500 | $1.4K |
| Fat-Embellishment | No | 1,070 | $991 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:19 AM ET | No | BUY | 93.4% | $170 |
| Oct 23, 12:58 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.5% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 12:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 93.4% | $1,000 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 91.4% | $37 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.1% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.2% | $37 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.2% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.2% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.1% | $37 |
| Oct 22, 10:07 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.1% | $18 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 7.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/andy-burnham-out-as-uk-pm-byptptpt-20260720161648859?via=bro
$35.9K in total volume, with $182 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 7.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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