As of October 24, 2026, 09:14 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 94.0% in Another Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31? — $732 traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 94.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +1.8 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since June 01, 2026, No has traded between 78.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 86.0% and last traded at 94.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.8% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 95.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 94.0% |
No is favored at 94.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94¢ | 94.0% | -0.1 pts | $732 | 100.0% |
| Yes | 6¢ | 6.0% | +0.1 pts | $732 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$732 has been traded on this event in total, $9 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any unmanned rocket owned or operated by Blue Origin explodes at any point during a launch, launch test, hot-fire test, or other testing operation between market creation and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET . Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An explosion is defined as a violent and catastrophic event resulting in the destruction of all or part of the vehicle, regardless of intent or context (e.g., a planned termination event would also count). The resolution source for this market will be official information from Blue Origin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 255 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Better-Shaker | No | 255 | $239 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 86 | $5 |
| Expert-Neuropathologist | Yes | 68 | $4 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | Yes | 30 | $2 |
| Grimy-Turnstile | Yes | 29 | $2 |
| Bewitched-Makeup | Yes | 15 | $1 |
| Bruised-Retrospectivity | Yes | 15 | $1 |
| Euphoric-Flan | No | 15 | $14 |
| Honest-Basil | Yes | 14 | $1 |
| Mortified-Revolver | Yes | 9 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.8% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 09:32 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.2% | $0 |
| Oct 15, 09:32 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.2% | $0 |
| Sep 28, 01:47 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.5% | $236 |
| Sep 22, 06:22 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $1 |
| Sep 10, 01:00 PM ET | No | SELL | 87.0% | $13 |
| Aug 14, 11:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.3% | $3 |
| Aug 09, 06:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $5 |
| Jul 18, 05:16 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.6% | $1 |
| Jul 08, 06:14 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 94.0%. Next is Yes at 6.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-blue-origin-rocket-explodes-by-oct-31?via=bro
$732 in total volume, with $9 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 94.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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