As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 5.2% in Another Canada election called by...? — $100.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 5.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.2 pts; past week: -0.4 pts; past month: -14.2 pts.
Since June 28, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 3.5% and 44.5%. It opened at 44.5% and last traded at 5.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 4.2% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 6.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 4.4% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 4.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 5.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 5.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 5.2% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 5.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 5¢ | 5.2% | -0.2 pts | $8.4K | 8.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 7¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$100.0K has been traded on this event in total, $16 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Canadian federal election is officially scheduled for a date prior to October 2029, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2026 an election is scheduled for November 23, 2027, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the Canada, However a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,494 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Solid-Porcelain | No | 2,494 | $2.4K |
| Jaded-Vermicelli | Yes | 2,337 | $123 |
| Caring-Eclipse | No | 626 | $593 |
| Utter-Herb-Vacuum | Yes | 562 | $30 |
| FrankyFourFingers | No | 523 | $496 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 352 | $18 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 238 | $12 |
| Lucky-Lawsuit | No | 121 | $115 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 116 | $6 |
| Straight-Hunting | Yes | 82 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:59 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 07:47 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.4% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 09:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.6% | $11 |
| Oct 19, 09:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 11:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.3% | $2 |
| Oct 17, 11:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.9% | $2 |
| Oct 12, 10:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $0 |
| Oct 12, 10:00 AM ET | No | SELL | 95.5% | $1 |
| Oct 12, 10:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 4.0% | $1 |
| Oct 06, 03:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.6% | $15 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 5.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-canada-election-called-by-june-30?via=bro
$100.0K in total volume, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 5.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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