Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.5% in Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? — $2.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
90%
A 90.5% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D −2.0 pts30D −1.0 pts
No90.5%
Yes9.5%
Bid
8¢
Ask
11¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 18, 2026: 41.5% – 92.5% · Opened at 70.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?
Category
Clacton, Politics, Elections, Nigel Farage, United Kingdom
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$2.7K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$12.8K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 90.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.

Since August 18, 2026, No has traded between 41.5% and 92.5%. It opened at 70.5% and last traded at 90.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202690.0%
Oct 16, 202687.5%
Oct 18, 202688.5%
Oct 19, 202688.5%
Oct 20, 202688.5%
Oct 24, 202690.5%
Oct 24, 202690.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 90.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No90¢90.5%—$2.7K100.0%
Yes10¢9.5%—$2.7K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 8¢ / ask 11¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a writ calling for a parliamentary by-election in the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is issued by the UK Clerk of the Crown in Chancery between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Writs issued in connection with a United Kingdom general election will not qualify. The issuance of a writ must be confirmed within the specified timeframe to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, including the UK Parliament and the relevant local government conducting the election; however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 562 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Humiliating-AbilityNo562$509
Old-Fashioned-TissueYes465$44
ydxisthekingNo456$413
Ragged-TightsYes320$30
Shameful-CinnamonNo200$181
Belated-GlueYes190$18
Unkempt-MiniYes75$7
Peppery-Strawman-RhubarbYes59$6
Spicy-AcrylicYes50$5
Cuddly-FolderYes35$3

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $282 at 89.0%BUY No — $194 at 90.0%BUY Yes — $37 at 8.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 01:51 PM ETYesBUY10.0%$3
Oct 22, 04:06 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$0
Oct 22, 03:55 AM ETNoBUY90.0%$7
Oct 22, 02:18 AM ETYesSELL10.0%$3
Oct 21, 02:24 PM ETYesBUY11.0%$1
Oct 17, 04:15 AM ETYesBUY9.0%$4
Oct 17, 03:05 AM ETNoBUY89.0%$282
Oct 17, 03:05 AM ETNoBUY90.1%$22
Oct 16, 02:44 AM ETNoBUY88.0%$26
Oct 16, 01:14 AM ETNoSELL90.0%$4

Related markets

More Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro 83.8% · 24H VOL $2.44M

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia 71.5% · 24H VOL $767.1K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Another Clacton by-election called in 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.5%. Next is Yes at 9.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-clacton-by-election-called-in-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Another Clacton by-election called in 2026??

$2.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Another Clacton by-election called in 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Another Clacton by-election called in 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 90.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.