As of October 24, 2026, 08:51 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 38.0% in Another crypto hack over $100M by ___? — $4.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 38.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -1.0 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, December 31 has traded between 34.5% and 64.0%. It opened at 64.0% and last traded at 38.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 38.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 37.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 38.0% |
December 31 is favored at 38.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 38¢ | 38.0% | — | $2.1K | 42.7% |
| October 31 | 12¢ | 12.5% | -2.5 pts | $2.8K | 57.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.9K has been traded on this event in total, $17 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This is a market on whether any crypto project or exchange suffers an exploit or hack of value at least $100 million USD equivalent between the creation of this market and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” Decentralized exchanges and lending protocol hacks will count. If a potentially qualifying hack has occurred within market timeframe, but the market’s resolution source has not been updated as of the market’s specified end date, the market may remain open for up to 7 calendar days ET allowing for an update. If no update occurs, the market will resolve according to the data already available. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Rekt News leaderboard (https://rekt.news/leaderboard/), however a credible consensus of reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://rekt.news/leaderboard/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,100 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blissful-Storyboard | No | 1,100 | $682 |
| Sniveling-Manacle | Yes | 1,000 | $380 |
| Authorized-Mandolin | Yes | 189 | $72 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 141 | $87 |
| Woozy-Stepaunt | Yes | 75 | $29 |
| Negative-Soprano | No | 55 | $34 |
| Tricky-Usher | Yes | 35 | $13 |
| Gleaming-Handlebar | No | 30 | $19 |
| Capital-Tummy-Employee | Yes | 30 | $11 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 23 | $9 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:46 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.1% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 08:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 39.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 02:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 11.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 08:50 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 24.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 07:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 03:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $0 |
| Oct 22, 02:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 9.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.8% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 38.0%. Next is October 31 at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-crypto-hack-over-100m-byptptpt-20261012?via=bro
$4.9K in total volume, with $17 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://rekt.news/leaderboard/.
December 31, priced at 38.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
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