As of October 24, 2026, 09:09 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 88.8% in Another Elon baby by December 31? — $1.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 88.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: -0.5 pts.
Since June 30, 2026, No has traded between 46.0% and 97.0%. It opened at 58.0% and last traded at 88.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 89.6% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 89.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 89.8% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.6% |
No is favored at 88.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89¢ | 88.8% | -0.1 pts | $1.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 11¢ | 11.2% | +0.1 pts | $1.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 19¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the existence of another Elon Musk child is confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any child explicitly claimed by Elon Musk or confirmed to be his child by a consensus of credible reporting will qualify. Qualifying announcements of a pregnancy will count. The resolution source for this market will be information from Elon Musk and a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 45 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Immense-Patriot | Yes | 45 | $5 |
| Scientific-Chair | No | 45 | $40 |
| Verifiable-Obstacle | No | 39 | $35 |
| White-Quarter | No | 37 | $33 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 22 | $2 |
| Amazing-Pad | Yes | 20 | $2 |
| Frosty-Objective | Yes | 16 | $2 |
| Loving-Chard | Yes | 15 | $2 |
| Bewitched-Merchant | No | 12 | $10 |
| Plastic-Duck | No | 7 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 07, 02:45 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $9 |
| Oct 06, 05:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 03, 06:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $35 |
| Oct 03, 06:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 84.4% | $4 |
| Oct 01, 09:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.6% | $5 |
| Sep 29, 02:34 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.4% | $0 |
| Sep 24, 02:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 81.0% | $6 |
| Sep 22, 04:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $1 |
| Sep 19, 07:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 87.8% | $9 |
| Sep 18, 11:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 88.8%. Next is Yes at 11.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-elon-baby-by-december-31-20260630143148786?via=bro
$1.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 88.8% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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