Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 14.1% in Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___? — $151.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $6.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
14%
A 14.1% price implies roughly a 14-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.8 pts7D −5.5 pts30D −10.9 pts
Bid
6¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
16¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since November 30, 2025: 6.2% – 86.9% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
Category
Crypto Treasury, Crypto, Bitcoin
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$151.4K
Volume (24h)
$6
Liquidity
$1.2K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 14.1%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 14.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.8 pts; past week: -5.5 pts; past month: -10.9 pts.

Since November 30, 2025, December 31, 2026 has traded between 6.2% and 86.9%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 15.3%.

DayClose
Oct 12, 202620.0%
Oct 13, 202619.1%
Oct 15, 202617.5%
Oct 16, 202621.3%
Oct 18, 202621.3%
Oct 19, 202621.4%
Oct 20, 202615.3%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 14.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202614¢14.1%-2.8 pts$138.1K91.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 16¢ (bid 6¢ / ask 22¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$151.4K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any S&P 500 company announces between November 4, 12:00 PM ET, and 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title that they bought Bitcoin for the first time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This announcement can pertain to a first purchase of Bitcoin outside of the timeframe of this market (e.g. if a qualifying company announces it made its first purchase of Bitcoin prior to this market's timeframe, but the announcement is made within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source will be official announcements from qualifying companies; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,803 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Dear-AcousticsNo2,803$2.4K
Faint-HandoverYes380$53
Admired-DayYes372$52
Trifling-HardshipYes314$44
Brave-CornflakesYes306$43
Oily-BlisterYes262$37
Youthful-ShowerYes224$31
Likable-AnticipationYes137$19
Far-SupportYes135$19
0xf5df95e8…Yes124$17

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $1.5K at 92.4%BUY No — $797 at 79.7%BUY No — $501 at 79.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:58 AM ETYesSELL10.4%$1
Oct 23, 09:24 AM ETYesSELL9.5%$0
Oct 19, 04:01 PM ETYesSELL12.2%$0
Oct 11, 07:02 AM ETNoBUY85.4%$5
Oct 11, 06:59 AM ETYesBUY26.1%$5
Oct 06, 12:48 AM ETYesSELL11.4%$1
Sep 26, 01:25 PM ETNoBUY79.8%$501
Sep 26, 01:24 PM ETNoBUY79.7%$1
Sep 26, 01:24 PM ETNoBUY79.7%$797
Sep 22, 10:34 AM ETNoSELL74.0%$7

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 14.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-sp-500-company-buys-bitcoin-by-november-30?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___??

$151.4K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 14.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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