As of October 24, 2026, 08:16 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.0% in Another US debt downgrade before 2027? — $13.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -1.0 pts; past month: -3.5 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 35.0% and 92.5%. It opened at 64.5% and last traded at 92.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.0% |
No is favored at 92.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.0% | +1.0 pts | $13.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 8.0% | -1.0 pts | $13.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$13.9K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 398 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tense-Fort | Yes | 398 | $32 |
| Happy-Dinosaur | No | 390 | $359 |
| Ordinary-Confectionery | Yes | 361 | $29 |
| Dear-Acoustics | No | 361 | $332 |
| Daring-Whirlwind | No | 323 | $297 |
| Wrong-Apprehension | Yes | 304 | $24 |
| Royal-Tweet | No | 300 | $276 |
| Tremendous-Divide | Yes | 250 | $20 |
| 0xbbafb975… | Yes | 201 | $16 |
| Black-Woodshed | No | 199 | $183 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 10:08 PM ET | No | SELL | 85.1% | $35 |
| Oct 12, 06:00 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 03:59 AM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $3 |
| Oct 10, 03:39 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 01:09 PM ET | No | BUY | 89.0% | $36 |
| Oct 05, 04:58 PM ET | No | SELL | 88.0% | $11 |
| Oct 05, 01:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $0 |
| Oct 05, 01:33 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.0% | $3 |
| Oct 01, 08:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $63 |
| Sep 22, 07:30 PM ET | No | SELL | 90.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.0%. Next is Yes at 8.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/another-us-debt-downgrade-before-2027?via=bro
$13.9K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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